How many stars will Ebert give Finding Nemo?

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I'm generally against betting on these things, but after Gil's recent success, maybe it's possible to win money guessing what Ebert is going to think about a movie none of us has seen yet.
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What do you have for us, Gil?
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Here's what I've got:
Eberts other Pixar Reviews:
Toy Story 1: 3 1/2
Toy Story 2: 3 1/2
Bug's Life : 3 1/2
Monsters Inc: 3

other CG animation reviews:
Ice Age: 3
Shrek 4
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Antz 3 1/2

So far I haven't been too impressed with it's marketing, but I guess all the posters until now have been teasers. They sure waited long enough to roll out this poster, which is much better:
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The reviews compiled at Rotten Tomatoes http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/FindingNemo-1122673/reviews.php have been mosty very good.

The word is that Finding Nemo's story is more serious and dramatic than earlier Pixar films, which probably increases the chance that Ebert will like it more that Monsters Inc. The favorite here is 1 or 3 1/2 stars, at +105. Could he give it 4? Maybe, but probably not? How the hell should I know, I haven't seen the damn thing! 3 is probably somewhat likely as well, so I don't know if I'm going to bother with this. If you think he's going to give it 3, then I would take the "draw" in the "star wars" prop they have at Intertops as well, as I think he will probably give the Italian Job 3 starts. He seems to give most good action flicks 3 stars, and IJ is getting mostly all good reviews so far. If you put 50 on the draw at +200, and 50 on 3 1/2 stars at +105 for Nemo, hopefully you wouldn't lose more than $0 dollars assuming Nemo gets 3 or 3 1/2 stars and IJ gets 3, and could win 50 if they both get 3 or any othe tie. But what do I know, you could obviously lose 100 as well. If Nemo got 4 you'd be screwed. Or they could both get 3 1/2, bling, bling! Right, Gil?

[This message was edited by Oren1 on May 26, 2003 at 04:12 AM.]
 
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O.K., so Bodog has this same prop but there is no "draw," so a draw would be a push. I took Finding Nemo at -140 hoping for 3 1/2 stars, or better
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It's possible he could give Italian Job 3 1/2, I'm not sure, I didn't read any of it's reviews, but like I said it's got an 80% at rottentomatoes which is very good. Sounds like your run-of-the-mill action flick, kinda like Phone Booth, o.k. Phone Booth wasn't really action-packed but you get my point, and that got 3 stars. If you do a search for movies he gave 3 stars on his site you'll see a lot of good action flicks on there. Briefly looking at movies he gave 3 1/2 stars, any action or even sci-fi films are classics or just way cooler than what I think IJ will be... But I haven't researched this thoroughly and I might be wrong. Blad II, 3 1/2 stars? Marky Mark can't hold Blade's jockstrap. Reading the headlines for it's reviews, it looks like IJ is offering a slick crime caper movie with great action. Ummmmm... The Heist got 3 1/2 stars.
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Hopefully he likes Finding Nemo as much as past Pixar Flicks, it sounds like they've changed the themes in their storytelling to be a little bit more mature, so I would guess that would mean a good review is more likely than bad? Anyways, what I'm trying to say is, I think it's more likely that Nemo will get more stars rather than IJ, hence the -140. It's also likely they could tie. Maximim bet is 140 to win 100.

[This message was edited by Oren1 on May 26, 2003 at 10:38 AM.]
 
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out of 10 reviews, one gave it 3 1/2 out of 4, another gave it an A-, the rest were mostly somewhere between 2 and 3 stars.
 

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Tough call. 3 3.5 flip a coin. And if it's really good... Ebert could give it 4 stars. All depends if he shit his bed or not.

Gil

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Gene Shallit (spl?), critic from the Today show, gave it a really good rating, so I'm guessing Ebert's rating won't be too far off from his.
 

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